Europe: subject or object in the geopolitics of data?

I took these notes at the international workshop held on the 15th November 2018 by the Ifri think-tank in Paris.


Thomas Gomart, Director, Ifri

  • geopolitical approach to data (as opposed to a GDPR-focused approach)
  • Ifri has published doctrinal research about the topic


Patrick Nicolet, CTO, CapGemini

  • Everybody is going for the “full stack”, from the infrastructure to the systems of engagement. It’s mature.
  • SAP CEO: “mix experience data with old data”
  • In Europe, imbalance created by the tension between support of citizens vs support of consumers.


DATA GEOPOLITICS: EUROPE BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA

Henry Farrell, George Washington University, author of Of Privacy and Power

Toward a transatlantic data war?

  • old battles eg Passenger Name Record, Safe Harbor, SWIFT/TFTP
    • civil liberty perspective

  • new fights ECJ/DPA, litigations, regulators

  • issues Privacy Shield, Shrems, Shrems II, Cloud Act, SWIFT weaponized by US vs Iran
    • Shrems (from Austrian activist Max Shrems) changes perspective -> ECJ voids Safe Harbor
    • going from high level negotiators to more actors (activists)
    • Privacy Shield replaces Safe Harbor but expected to disappear within 2 or 3 years
    • Cloud Act is response by the US to perceived difficulties in cooperation in criminal matters
      • some in EU want to use security agreements to leapfrog over privacy rules

    • New Battles over Financial Data: SWIFT (Belgium)
      • weaponized interdependence, panopticon effect, chokepoint effect
      • Iran 2012 vs Iran 2018 US imposes new unilateral sanctions, SWIFT complies

Alice Ekman, Ifri
How China is envisioning its global strategy for data?

Chinese approach of data

National

  1. promoting sovereign definition of the Internet (there are a national and an international Internet)
    • 2017 Cybersecurity law
  2. WHO (?) perception, risk or opportunity?
    • what about social networks? Xi Jinping answer: opportunity! -> for it to support the system
  3. big data + social management
    • university research on how to make data useful in social management
  4. integrated and comprehensive approach of data
    • video surveillance etc.
    • social credit system to be complete by 2020
  5. meaning of data privacy is different from US/EU definition
    • more data protection than data privacy
    • more business-friendly and concern about misuse from the private sector
International

  • positioning itself as a solution provider for data infrastructure: cloud computing, sea cables, etc.: heavy investment for assymetric catch-up, wants to overtake US as 1st cyber power by 2050
  • solution provider for data management
    • eg smart cities, viewed as “safe cities” (no crime) with reliance on facial recognition
    • solution vs “terrorism”
  • ambition of cyber dominance
    • developing CIPS (Chinese SWIFT)
    • training (Africa)
    • describes strategic triangle China / US / EU, says US is misbehaving, has a seduction strategy with the EU
  • conceptual gap
    • greater between China and the West than between US and EU
    • China positions itself as an ethical actor (tactically?)
    • many references to Cambridge Analytica: “China manages better”
    • Viet-Nam copies Cybersecurity law


Q. P.B.

Weaponization of the GAFAM?

Henry Farrell: Eric Schmidt after Snowden: “extraordinary disaster”

They do not want to be perceived as tools. They have a lot of autonomy to police their users.

Putin: Internet “a CIA plot”.

GAFAM not directly weaponized but their business models are uncomfortable for some regimes.

Google more responsive to Chinese government than to US one.


Q.

Privacy Shield

Henry Farrell: The Shrems case is the explosive one. If: “Facebook does not comply with the GDPR”, could oppose business models with user data sold to customers


Q. E.B.

GAFAM/BATX

Alice Ekman: big companies in China need Party cells within the company

big companies not so much involved in politics

tension between attractivity vs closeness to the Party


Q G.G.

What about second rank actors: India, Japan, Russia, etc.?

Alice Ekman: the US/EU/China triangle is proposed by China.

Patrick Nicolet: you might see conflicts around smart cities.

Alice Ekman: Nice is developping smartness with Huawei.


Q P.S-G

SWIFT

Henry Farrell: SWIFT is already here and a European institution. The question is, do you build around SWIFT and drag it away from the US, or do you build a different system? There is far greater US/EU integration (unlike with China).

The system to trade with Iran might be the seed of another system, but no state wants to host the siege, by fear of US retaliation. This is an interdependent systems vs disentanglement conflict.


Q Thomas Gomart

What sort of retaliation from the US could we expect?

Henry Farrell:

  1. applying sanctions vs banks and individual bankers
  2. denying access to the dollar clearing system to EU banks

However, it would push the EU away from the US.

Within the EU there is a debate about administrative defense. The courts are going to defer to OFAC (Office of Foreign Assets Control). The companies do not fight fines. There is an ongoing challenge to the OFAC (Exxon case).


Q Thomas Gomart

The EU has 17 regimes of sanctions. The policy of sanctions is the main policy tool.

Is there a loss of efficiency?

Does China have a sanctions policy?

Alice Ekman: China has a policy of gifts and sanctions.

e.g. when South Korea put an anti-missile system, there were Chinese sanctions on South Korean companies, and less Chinese tourists.

e.g. when there was a transfer of military equipment via Singapore to Taiwan, Singapore was blamed and disinvited from event



LEVERAGING EUROPEAN DATA AMBITIONS

Moving into data economy, AI is the key tech.


Dr Stefan Heumann, Stiftung Neue Verantswortung (Berlin think-tank)
Beyond GDPR: Can Europe articule a ‘Data Sovereignty’ policy?


The challenge:

  • GAFA dominated
  • GDPR
  • weak startup ecosystem
  • high fragmentation


The mega-challenge:
  • merging of Cloud and AI on big platforms

The opportunity:

  • market: most attractive worldwide
  • talent: data scientists, STEM expertise, EU trains twice as many engineers, scientists than US, need to keep talent in EU
  • innovation: DeepMind (ex-UK), Kuka (ex-Germany), Blablacar…
  • data: IoT, health, energy, mobility, smart manufacturing
  • cooperation: standards, joint ventures

Approaches:

  • technical: federated AI, decentralized approach, “edge computing” (machine learning in the car)
  • government open data: public sector open data, open access to research data, competition policy: “open corporate data”, dominant market players forced to share with competitors
  • cooperative, data pooling:
    • cooperation beats fragmentation
    • data marketplaces
    • technical standards and quality assurances
    • high priority in French and German strategies
    • little actions unfortunately, incentive problems
    • own research: found 54 data pooling platforms so far. 30% are data marketplaces (50% research 50% business) - is looking for people to work on data pooling (researching, building)


Julien Nocetti, Ifri
Artificial intelligence: a game-changer for Europe's data-policy ambitions?

US: most AI papers, patent applications, AI workers (⅔)

2017 Chinese investment in AI half of the world’s

3 options

  • lament about EU indecisiveness, digital colonialism, risk to get out of History
  • regulate AI rather than govern it
  • acknowledge that AI is not immune from geopolitics, eg Brexit, French Chinese AI cooperation, Transatlantic relationship

Finland creating open standards

France focus on ethics of the government policy document

state policies towards US:

  • containment policy (China, Russia, etc.)
  • critical cooperation (France, etc.)

Narrative of finding a Third Way in Europe.


Q Thomas Gomart

What is the importance of the Chinese market for the German industry. P3 or France/Germany? is there a debate in Germany?

Stefan Heumann: we are heading towards a data war with China. That party (German cars sold in China) is going to end. Germany is more aligned with the US (in China, there are Communist officers in corporations). China wants to move up in the value chain. China has the long term view. After three or so years, things will get complicated. There is Chinese outreach in Eastern Europe.


Q Thomas Gomart

The Villani AI report: policy is “sovereignty of the EU as champion of ethical and sustainable AI”

Julien Nocetti: is ethics the only EU advantage? beautiful speeches, but risk of being squeezed


Q M.H

The German robotic company Kuka was bought by China. How to avoid the next Kuka?

Stefan Heumann: in Berlin they want to lower the threshold to inform the government about foreign direct investments (FDI) from 20% to 10%. There is more awareness and concern.

The SDP leader set a group to think about data monopolies. Her intent is to publish a proposal in early 2019.


Q Alice Ekman

Stefan Heumann: Huawei is a partner of Deutsch Telekom. There is a pushback. It is a dicey situation.


E-A.M.

national mechanic, Germany faced with Chinese acquisitions

Regarding Kuka, in early 2019 Commission draft, EU projects screened


Q G.B.

GDPR needs to be connected to economic development

same pattern with AI (explainable AI)?

Stefan Heumann: I have a problem with the word ‘sovereignty’: economic interest, individual control of data, we the sovereign make the rules

sovereignty differs from control, ownership

then we should invest in explainable AI

market power: the people who control the tech set the standards

ethical AI: let’s build it!


Q Jean-Christophe Noël

AI war links a lot of items

which data shouldn’t we open at any cost?

what is the core of sovereign data?

Patrick Nicolet: It is impossible to define which data is sensitive. The AI (use of data) is about what questions you want to answer. You need a big pool, you don’t know the questions in advance. Hence AI rather than data requires an ethical framework.


Q E.G.

It’s not only a mechanical problem, it is a cultural conflict. The Chinese are subtle in their approach.


Q Antoine-Tristan Mocilnikar (French gov)

Governmental approach: we want quantitative facts, objective approach, no ideology. What are the threats -people, states, entities. Then, what is the target? Energy is THE critical issue.

Actions: coproduction of different tech levels. Nice act, cyber centre? How to accelerate those tools?

Henry Farrell: not to pool everything: data with supply chain, logistics; companies share to optimise

The EU is on the right track. For trust you need regulations. How do we have trust, mechanisms to create trust, rather than abstract ethics?

Nobody’s waiting for Europe.


Q P.B.

Does Europe have ambition?

Julien Nocetti: Not to be strictly on a defensive stance.


See also:

https://www.ifri.org/fr/publications/notes-de-lifri/europe-objet-de-geopolitique-donnees
https://www.ladocumentationfrancaise.fr/rapports-publics/184000159/index.shtml
https://www.dw.com/en/germany-launches-digital-strategy-to-become-artificial-intelligence-leader/a-46298494

The Scribe (Arthur Szyk)

the sitting scribe stares at you
CC-by-SA Arthur Szyk

Que vois-je ?
Assis sur une chaise à dossier turquoise, le dos à un mur de briques rouges, un homme d'un certain âge écrit sur un parchemin posé sur une table. L'homme est habillé comme pourrait peut-être l'être un bourgeois de la Renaissance. Il porte des bijoux et tient un stylo.
Il nous regarde. Ses yeux sont bleu sombre.

A sa droite, une fenêtre permet d'apercevoir une ville de campagne en contrebas, avec son église et en arrière-plan un château posé sur une colline. Un bateau, un train et un avion parcourent ce paysage.
Derrière lui, un tableau ou une tapisserie montre une scène de chasse au lion avec château et chasseur style Renaissance équipé d'une lance.

A sa gauche, un tableau dans le style cubiste sur lequel on distingue un visage, une main et les lettres PICASSO et B.
Au-dessus de ce tableau se trouvent deux chérubins fumeurs de pipe qui portent un billet d'un dollar américain surmonté d'une couronne à neuf pointes.

Sur la table, protégée par une nappe aux motifs floraux, se trouvent plusieurs objets.
Le parchemin, inachevé, affiche le texte suivant:
Heut hüpft die Schönheit über das Gebein?
Der Menschenwogel klirrt in klaren Höhn
Und übertönt das Totenkopfgestöhn,
Um nur das bunteLicht zu benedein?
Auch ich steig auf mit starken Aeroplanen
Zu neuen Sphären neusten Weg zu bahnen,
Den Preisgesang des Weltenflugs zu dichten
Und dieser Zeit das Denkmal aufzurichten.
Evoe ...

Arthur Szyk, Paris 1927


Soit, peut-être:
En ce jour, la beauté saute par-dessus l'ossement?
L'oiseau humain cliquète dans la vertigineuse clarté
Et recouvre les gémissements de la tête de mort,
Ne bénit que la seule lumière bigarrée?
Moi aussi, je grimpe dans de puissants aéroplanes
Pour me frayer un chemin jusqu'à de nouvelles sphères,
Composer l'hymne louant les vols de ce monde
Et dresser le monument de cette époque.
Evoe...

Une boîte en forme de parallélépipède rectangle, ouverte, au fond de couleur turquoise, repose à côté du parchemin.
D'un vase, peut-être en cuivre, surgissent trois fleurs qui évoquent de grandes pâquerettes. Les motifs du vase évoquent ceux de la nappe.
Sur un épais livre à couverture noire et dorée, dont le titre n'est pas visible, repose un crâne humain. Caché derrière le crâne, assis sur le livre, un petit personnage chaussé et vêtu de rouge, portant un bonnet de fou du roi à clochettes, rouge, et tenant un bâtonnet rouge, observe le parchemin.

J'écris ce que je décris
Le scribe - un mot ancien pour désigner l'homme de lettres - vit à la fois dans le passé et le présent - ou le futur? Ses vêtements viennent du passé, et il écrit sur un parchemin, mais un avion vole non loin de là. Le scribe revient d'un voyage dans le temps, que lui et les lettres transcendent.
Les chérubins flottent devant la scène de chasse et le Picasso. La fumée du tabac n'est pas visible, mais le scribe est peut-être dans un état second, hypnotisé par la perspective du dollar couronné. Les chérubins présentent au monde leur dieu, le dieu que sert le scribe.
Le Picasso est-il un Picasso, ou bien un Szyk dans le style Picasso?
Derrière le scribe, le chasseur qui tue le lion avec sa lance porte le même chapeau. Il ressemble au scribe, en plus jeune. Le scribe devient le héros, à moins que le héros ne soit sa jeunesse.
Cette boîte vide contenait-elle quelque chose qu'on voit sur l'image?
Le scribe est-il dans un château surplombant un verdoyant domaine? Les ombres qui entourent la fenêtre pourraient plutôt être celles d'un tableau cloué au mur. La ville et le ciel peuvent n'être que mirages. Le scribe se tient peut-être dans une taverne ou dans une cave enfumée.
Le scribe est-il Arthur Szyk? De quelle couleur sont les yeux de l'auteur? Le personnage a la barbe naissante d'un illustrateur perdu dans son travail. Autour de lui, le chaos, mais son regard est résolu, c'est l'homme de la situation, le tueur de bêtes sauvages.
Je pense qu'il gagnerait à "je te tiens tu me tiens par la barbichette".

The content society 5: the stakes of deepfakes

EN



Deepfakes ('deep learning'-generated 'fake' pictures) are videos where the face of individuals are replaced with other faces, using plug-and-play artificial intelligence software. There are porn videos where the face of the performer has been replaced by the face of a celebrity.
This is yet another expression of the way the digital environment struggles with sincerity. Things are not what they appear to be over there.
All kinds of people might be pondering the use of deepfakes:
- TV comedians and propagandists
- spies, social engineers and blackmailers (kompromat)
- advertisers and scammers
- pranksters (large scale ones, think the Laughing Man from Ghost in the Shell Stand-Alone Complex)

Imagine a future where video alteration is so pain-free that no video can be taken at face value. The process of making people appear to say things or do things would be industrialised, videos being altered in all of your video viewing environment, videos being altered in real-time, videos featuring faces and other items that are customized to each viewer.
Imagine a future where computer malware would alter in real-time the video feed you receive through communication software.
As far as I can tell, this future is just around the corner.

FR



La société du contenu 5 : les enjeux de la manipulation logicielle des images

Les deepfakes sont des vidéos dans lesquelles certains visages sont remplacés par d'autres, grâce à l'utilisation de logiciels d'intelligence artificielle simples à utiliser, reposant sur des techniques dites d'"apprentissage profond". Dans certaines vidéos pornographiques, le visage de l'actrice a ainsi pu être remplacé par celui d'une célébrité.
C'est une expression supplémentaire de la relation pour le moins tortueuse de l'environnement numérique avec la sincérité. Les choses n'y sont pas ce qu'elles paraissent.

Toutes sortes de gens sont peut-être en train de réfléchir à l'utilisation de deepfakes:
- les humoristes de la télévision et les propagandistes
- les espions, ingénieurs sociaux et maîtres chanteurs (kompromat)
- les publicitaires et arnaqueurs
- les amateurs de canulars (à grande échelle, imaginez le Rieur dans la série d'animation Ghost in the Shell Stand-Alone Complex)

Imaginez un avenir où les modifications des vidéos deviennent si faciles qu'aucune vidéo ne puisse plus être prise pour argent comptant. Le procédé consistant à faire dire ou faire n'importe quoi à n'importe qui serait industrialisé, les vidéos seraient modifiés sur tous vos écrans, en temps réel, avec des visages et d'autres objets personnalisés en fonction de chaque spectateur.
Imaginez un avenir où les logiciels malveillants modifieraient en temps réel le flux vidéo que vous recevriez via vos logiciels de communication.
Autant que je puisse en juger, cet avenir est imminent.